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Spatial Analysis of North American Hurricanes Using a Geographic Information System (GIS) Author: Joseph J. Kerski, Geographer, USGS, jjkerski@usgs.gov, 303-202-4315 Software Required:
Geographic Information Systems software, such as ArcView (ESRI, Inc), Maptitude (Caliper Corp.), MapInfo (MapInfo Corp.), or GeoMedia (Intergraph Corp.). This lesson uses ArcView 3.x by ESRI, Inc.
Summary: Students examine North Atlantic hurricanes from 1851 to 2001 over space and time using GIS tools and methods, analyzing hurricane direction, patterns, specific damaging hurricanes, the characteristics of hurricanes near world and specific cities, hurricanes in specific states in the USA and Mexico, and characteristics of hurricanes that passed near the students' hometown.
Skills: 1. Understanding the patterns and processes of hurricanes across North America for the past century. 2. Understanding the problems of hurricanes from a geographic perspective. 3. Symbolizing data to aid in understanding it. 4. Data and file management. 5. Selection, sorting, querying data in maps and in tables. 6. Changing and understanding map projections. 7. Creating summary tables to help understand the problem. 8. Creating and analyzing graphs. 9. Creating new information. 10. Analyzing point, line, and polygon data across space.
Data:
ESRI Inc., created all countries, cities, and the world30 map and data layers.
The
US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Tropical Prediction
Center/National Hurricane Center
Data Management Create a folder on your computer to hold the data with an appropriate name, such as tornados. Click here to download the data that you will need for this lab exercise, and download into the folder you created. This file is named hurricanelesson.zip and totals approximately 2.5 MB. Next, unzip the file using the Winzip program. You now should have the following files: World Cities Countries Mexico Cities Mexico States USA Cities USA States Hurricane Tracks Large Hurricanes Displaying and Symbolizing Your Data Open ArcView GIS and start and new project with a new view.
Add
the following map themes using the Add Theme
World 30 Countries Hurricane Tracks
Click on the buttons to the left of each theme to make them visible. 1) Does the world 30 layer represent the oceans? Why or why not?
Single click on the themes and slide them up and down in the table of contents so that world30 is at the bottom, the countries theme is in the middle, and the hurricane tracks theme is at the top. Double-click on the world30 layer to access the Legend Editor. Select "Load" and load the world30.avl legend file, as follows:
Double-click on the countries layer to access the Legend Editor. Select "Load" and load the countries.avl legend file. Go to the Theme pull-down menu and select "Hide/Show Legend" to hide this legend. Double-click on the Hurricane Tracks layer to access the Legend Editor. Select "Load" and load the hurricanetracks.avl legend file. 2) What color are the tracks of the hurricanes?
Using File--> Save Project, save your project with the name "hurricanes" to the folder where your data is located or to the location provided by your instructor. Hurricane
Analysis 3) In what ocean are these hurricane tracks concentrated in?
Using the zoom in
4) Write 3 observations about the distribution and pattern of hurricanes in the North Atlantic.
5) Is there anything about the distribution and pattern of hurricanes that surprises you? If so, what?
6) Write 3 observations about the direction that the hurricanes move.
7) Is there anything about the direction of hurricane movement that surprises you?
Notice the coordinates to the upper right of the view as you move the mouse around the map. 8) What do these coordinates represent?
You work for the Red Cross, an organization that brings aid in natural and human-caused disasters. You need to find out what countries these hurricanes cross so that you can direct the future efforts of the Red Cross. Make the countries theme "active" by single-clicking on it. Access the menu: Theme and then pull down: "Select By Theme." Select the countries that hurricanes crossed, as follows:
When finished, click on "New Set." Access the
countries table 9) Look to the upper left of the table to determine how many countries hurricanes crossed. Indicate the number below.
10) Examine your map. According to the distribution of countries selected, how many continents do the North Atlantic hurricanes affect?
11) Name these continents.
Next, you will further investigate the hurricanes data in the table that stores all of the characteristics, or attributes, of the hurricanes. First, make the hurricane tracks theme active by single-clicking on it. This will make the theme "stand out" or "pop up." Access the table of
hurricanes by clicking on the open theme table button Scroll a bit through the table. 12) What field is this table sorted by?
13) What time period does this table span?
From ________________ to ___________________ 14) Look to the upper left of the table. How many rows are in this table?
15) During what season do you suppose most hurricanes strike?
Next, you will use your GIS to determine what months are the most common for hurricanes. Highlight the Month field and use the Field--> Summarize menu to create a new table. Save it in the folder where your other data resides. Take the defaults and select "OK" on the window that pops up. The new table shows the frequency of hurricanes for each month. 16) Was any month free of hurricanes?
17) What month was by far the most common for hurricanes?
Go to your project window by using the "Window" pull down menu. Create a bar graph (chart) of your new table. Add the field "count" and label series using "month". It should look similar to the following. Print the graph.
Close the graph and your monthly summary table. Access your table for all the hurricanes. Examine the "cat" field. This field represents the intensity of hurricanes, as follows:
Look at the relationship between wind speed (wind_mph) and the category. Highlight the Cat field and use the Field--> Summarize to create a new table. Store it in an appropriate folder. Take the defaults and select "OK" on the window that pops up. You now have a table of hurricane categories and their frequencies. 18) What are the categories of hurricanes in this list?
19) What are the category names of the two most destructive types of hurricanes in this list?
20) What is the most common category of hurricane in this list?
Close your new table and go back to the map. Save your project. You
have probably noticed that because so many hurricanes exist, it is
difficult to understand the pattern they make. Make the
hurricanetracks theme invisible by clicking on the check mark next to
the theme name and examine
only the largest hurricanes. You will be able to examine the
largest hurricanes, those that achieved Category 3, 4, or 5, as
follows. These are stored in a theme named
largehurricanes.shp. Add this theme using the same method that you
added the other themes, earlier
Double-click on this theme to access the legend editor. Click on Load, and load the legend "largehurricanes.avl". After loading, but before clicking on "Apply," examine the numbers under the field "count." 21) Which category of hurricanes is the least numerous?
22) Why?
Analyzing the Last Hurricane In this section, you will analyze the latest hurricane recorded in the table. Make the large hurricanes invisible and make the hurricanetracks theme visible again. Access the table of all the hurricanes. Go to the bottom of the table and examine the data for Hurricane Olga. 23) Does each row in the table represent one hurricane or one segment of the track of each hurricane? Circle your answer: A. Each row represents one hurricane. B. Each row represents one segment of the track of each hurricane.
24) Therefore, is the number of hurricanes more, less, or the same as the answer you wrote above for the number of rows in the table?
25) How many days did Hurricane Olga last?
Examine the "cat" field for Hurricane Olga. 26) Describe the categories classified for this hurricane and how they changed over the lifetime of Hurricane Olga.
27) Why do the categories change over the lifetime of this or any hurricane?
28) What was the highest wind speed for Hurricane Olga and on what day did it occur?
29) During what category of Hurricane Olga were the winds highest?
30) During what category of Hurricane Olga was the pressure lowest?
31) What is the relationship between wind speed and pressure? Why?
Close the table and return to your map. Save your project using File--> Save Project. Next, you will examine the pattern that Hurricane Olga followed. To do this, you will need to set the definition of your hurricanes map theme to Hurricane Olga. It will then be easy to see Olga on the world map. Go to Theme-->
Properties and click on the Hammer / Question Mark symbol under
"Definition."
Select "OK" and return to your map. You should see the path of Hurricane Olga, as follows:
Label 32) Describe the path and direction that Olga followed, naming the closest countries that Olga approached.
Next, map the pattern of wind speed and pressure as you identified in your analysis of the attributes for Hurricane Olga. Do this by changing the legend by double-clicking on the hurricane tracks theme. Change the legend to Graduated Symbol and the Classification Field to Wind Speed (wind_mph). Make the size range from 1 to 12. 33) Describe the pattern of wind speed as Hurricane Olga moved.
Change the legend by double-clicking on the hurricane tracks theme. Change the legend to Graduated Symbol and the Classification Field from wind speed to pressure. Make the size range from 1 to 12. 34) Describe the pattern of pressure as Hurricane Olga moved.
Hurricane Hugo Analysis Next, you will analyze Hurricane Hugo. Hurricane Hugo, which caused approximately $10 billion in damage, had been the costliest hurricane to strike the United States before Andrew three years later. Hugo was, in some ways, two hurricanes in one. First, it passed through the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, leaving $3 billion in damage in its wake. After leaving the islands, Hugo remained over the waters of the Atlantic for over 3 days, gaining in strength and size until it made its assault on the South Carolina coast near Charleston. Even after making landfall, Hugo remained a threat and caused damage over 200 miles inland, and its effects were felt into North Carolina. (National Academy Press report, http://www.nap.edu/execsumm/0309044758.html) Pull down the Theme --> Properties menu, and erase the Hurricane Olga expression. 35) What expression should you use to select Hurricane Hugo?
Select Hurricane Hugo by entering your expression above and select OK. Zoom to the
extent of Hurricane Hugo. 36) At what approximate latitude and longitude did Hurricane Hugo begin?
37) What is
the closest country to Hugo's point of origin? (Remember the label
tool
38) At what approximate latitude and longitude did Hurricane Hugo end?
39) In what country did Hugo end?
40) What other country or countries did Hurricane Hugo cross?
Examine the table
for Hurricane Hugo 41) How many days did Hurricane Hugo last?
42) When was Hugo causing damage to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands?
43) How many days later was Hugo causing damage to South Carolina?
Create a map for
printing by going to View--> Layout. Add a title to your map
and your name by clicking on the "T" text symbol button You work for the
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), an agency of the US
Government that assists in helping mitigate the effects of natural and
human-caused disasters. You need to find out what states Hurricane
Hugo crossed. First, add the usastates theme. Access the menu: Theme and then, "Select By Theme." Select the states that Hugo crossed, as follows:
When finished, click on "New Set." Access the states table. Look to the upper left of the table to determine how many states Hugo crossed. 44) Indicate the number of states that Hugo crossed, below.
Bring all the
selected states to the top of the table by "promoting" them. FEMA needs to assess how many people would potentially be affected by Hurricane Hugo. Click on Pop1999 to highlight the field. Go to Field-->Statistics. Examine the result. 45) What was the sum of the population of these states in 1999?
46) Label
the states
Go to Theme--> Properties on the Hurricane Tracks. Remove the definition query and click "OK." Now you should be able to see all the hurricanes again. 47) What is the primary direction that hurricanes travel across Pennsylvania?
From _________________________ to ______________________ Save your project. Create a layout (View-->Layout) and print your Pennsylvania layout. Pan 48) What is the primary direction that hurricanes travel across Texas?
From _________________________ to ______________________
Analyzing The Worst Hurricane The worst natural
disaster ever to strike the United States in terms of loss of life was a
hurricane. This is the hurricane identified in the table as having
a btid of 352. As you have done above, apply a definition query
under Theme--> Properties 49) What countries did this hurricane cross?
50) What is unusual about the length of this hurricane track compared to some of the others you have examined?
51) What is unusual about the western and northern extent of this hurricane track compared to some of the others you have examined?
52) Examine your table. How long did this hurricane last?
Read the accounts of this hurricane after it left Texas on: http://www.islandnet.com/~see/weather/events/1900hurr.htm 53) How many people were killed after the storm left Texas, according to this account?
54) Based on your GIS-based analysis on the storm's track, answer how this could have happened.
Zoom in
55) What city was closest to the hurricane's landfall?
Use the identify
button 56) What year, month, and day did the hurricane make landfall?
During the evening before (Friday) the landfall, many of the 37,000 residents of this community were settling down to dinner, few if any of them concerned about the steady 15 mph northerly wind rattling their windows. Within 48 hours, at least 8,000 of the townspeople would be dead, victims of the single worst natural disaster in U.S. history. (http://www.disasterrelief.org/Disasters/980813Galveston/) For more information, read the excellent book: Isaac's Storm: A Man, A Time and The Deadliest Hurricane in History by Eric Larson, The Crown Publishing Group, 1999, ISBN 0-609-60233-0. How Many Hurricanes Have Passed Near My Hometown? The hurricane you just analyzed was not the only hurricane to pass near this city. With a GIS, you can determine how many hurricanes passed near this or any other city. Begin with finding out how many hurricanes passed within 50 miles of Galveston. First, select the city of Galveston from the usacities theme by clicking on the Hammer/Question mark query tool. 57) What expression should you use to select the city of Galveston?
Select Galveston using your expression above and examine your map. Galveston should be yellow. Second, create a 50 mile buffer around Galveston by accessing the Theme--> Create Buffers menu. Create a buffer around features of the theme usacities, using only the selected city of Galveston. Save the results in a theme with a name of your choice, such as galv50buff. This is the area within 50 miles of Galveston. 58) What shape is your Galveston buffer?
59) Why?
Third, clear your definition query from the hurricane tracks theme so you are looking at all of the hurricanes (under Theme--> Properties). Fourth, make your hurricane tracks theme your active theme and use Theme--> Select by Theme to intersect your buffer and the number of hurricanes. Examine the table of your hurricane theme when done. 60) How many hurricane tracks passed within 50 miles of Galveston?
61) When was the earliest of these hurricanes?
62) When was the latest of these hurricanes?
Clear the selection 63) What town did you investigate, what were your results, and why?
Again, select all themes (hold down
SHIFT and single click each one) and clear any selections for all
themes.
Which States in the USA are the Most Vulnerable to Hurricanes? Zoom to where you can see the United States and all hurricane tracks. 64) Based on your observations, which state is probably the most vulnerable to hurricanes?
FEMA wants you to make an assessment of exactly how many hurricane tracks crossed each state so that you can quantitatively assess the risk in each state. To do this, you will have to create new information, but you will also use some of the functions you used before. First, go to File--> Extensions and select the Geoprocessing extension. You must check the box to the left of the name for it to become active. Second, access to the GeoProcessing Extension by selecting: View--> GeoProcessing Wizard. This is the new menu choice that you added by accessing the Geoprocessing extension. Go to: Assign Data by Location. Next: Assign data to hurricanetracks.shp from usastates.shp. Be patient. The GIS has to assign a state name to all hurricane tracks in the USA. If this is too much for your computer, then assign data to largehurricanes.shp from usastates.shp. When complete, examine the hurricane
tracks table. 65) What is the name of the first of the new field(s) that has been added?
Click on the state_name field to highlight it, and access the menu Field-->Summarize. Take the defaults and save to a table in your folder. Give it an appropriate name. Sort the table on “count”. 66) How many states or state equivalents were crossed by hurricanes between 1851 and 2001?
67) Did hurricanes cross over half of the states in the USA?
68) Which state experienced the most hurricanes? Does this correspond with your the visual observation you made earlier? Why or why not?
69) Name two reasons why this state is most vulnerable to hurricanes.
70) Access the Window pull down menu to access the Project window -- the one with views, tables, charts, layouts, and scripts on the left hand side. It should be named "hurricanes.apr" or whatever name you chose for your project. On the left side of the project menu, select charts and click on "New". Make a chart (graph) based on the SUMMARY table that you just created. Give it an appropriate name in the "name" column. Use "count" as the field and "add" it to the chart. Print the chart. Go to the hurricane
tracks table. Select all themes (hold down
SHIFT and single click each one) and clear any selections for all
themes. Which countries south of the United States are the Most Vulnerable to Hurricanes? The UN Disaster Relief Organization has contracted with you to make an assessment of how many hurricanes crossed each country, with a focus on Central America so that you can assess the risk in each country. To do this, you will have to create new information, but then you will use some of the functions you used before. Zoom to where you can see the Caribbean Sea, Mexico, Central America, and northern South America, and the hurricane tracks that crossed these regions. 71) Based on your observations, which country in this region is probably the most vulnerable to hurricanes?
72) What hurricane moved furthest to the west in this area? In what ocean did it end?
To determine which countries are the most vulnerable to hurricanes, first, go to File--> Extensions and make sure that the Geoprocessing extension is on. If you turned it on for the analysis that you did above, it should still be on. You must check the box to the left of the name for it to become active. Second, access to the GeoProcessing Extension by selecting: View--> GeoProcessing Wizard. This is the new menu choice that you added by accessing the Geoprocessing extension. Go to: Assign Data by Location. Next: Assign data to hurricanetracks.shp from countries.shp. Be patient. The GIS has to assign a state name to all hurricane tracks in the world. If this is too much for your computer, then assign data to largehurricanes.shp from countries.shp. When complete, examine the hurricane
tracks table. 73) What is the first of the new field(s) to have been added?
Click on the name field (there should be two name fields--you want the one on the right side of the table). After highlighting the name field, access the menu Field-->Summarize. Take the defaults and save to a table in your folder. Give it an appropriate name. Sort the table on “count”. 74) How many countries were crossed by hurricanes between 1851 and 2001?
75) Which country experienced the most hurricanes? Why?
76) Which country south of the United States experienced the most hurricanes? Why?
77) Is this the same country as the one you indicated was the country most vulnerable in your earlier visual assessment?
78) What does the first row in the table represent--the one with no country name given?
79) Change the legend for Hurricanes to map hurricanes as a unique value map using the field "Cat." Based on this map, what were the most severe hurricanes to cross the region south of the United States?
Go to the hurricane
tracks table. Select all themes (hold down
SHIFT and single click each one) and clear any selections for all
themes. Which States in Mexico are the Most Vulnerable to Hurricanes? The UN Disaster Relief Organization has contracted with you to make an assessment of how many hurricanes crossed each state in Mexico. To do this, you will have to create new information just as you did for countries in the world. Zoom to where you can see Mexico and the hurricane tracks that crossed Mexico. Use the Add Theme 80) Examine the Mexico states
table
81) Based on your observation of the map, which state in Mexico is probably the most vulnerable to hurricanes? Why?
82) Based on your observations, which cities in Mexico are probably the most vulnerable to hurricanes? Why?
To determine which states are the most vulnerable to hurricanes, first, go to File--> Extensions and make sure that the Geoprocessing extension is on. If you turned it on for the analysis that you did above, it should still be on. You must check the box to the left of the name for it to become active. Second, access to the GeoProcessing Extension by selecting: View--> GeoProcessing Wizard. This is the new menu choice that you added by accessing the Geoprocessing extension. Go to: Assign Data by Location. Next: Assign data to hurricanetracks.shp from mexicostates.shp. Be patient. The GIS has to assign a state name to all hurricane tracks in Mexico. If this is too much for your computer, then assign data to largehurricanes.shp from mexicostates.shp. When complete, examine the hurricane
tracks table. 83) What is the first of the new field(s) to have been added?
Click on the name field (there should be two name fields--you want the one on the right side of the table). After highlighting the name field, access the menu Field-->Summarize. Take the defaults and save to a table in your folder. Give it an appropriate name. Sort the table on “count”. 84) How many states in Mexico were crossed by hurricanes between 1851 and 2001?
85) Which state in Mexico experienced the most hurricanes? Why?
86) Is this the same state in Mexico as the one you indicated was the country most vulnerable in your earlier visual assessment?
87) Change the legend for Hurricanes to map hurricanes as a unique value map using the field "Cat." Based on this map, what were the most severe hurricanes to cross Mexico?
Go to the hurricane
tracks table. Analyzing Hurricane Mitch The worst hurricane to
strike Central America was Hurricane
Mitch. Hurricane Mitch struck Central America with such
viciousness that it was nearly a week before the magnitude of the
disaster began to reach the outside world. Hurricane Mitch will be
remembered as the most deadly hurricane to strike the Western Hemisphere
in the last two centuries. Not since the Great Hurricane of 1780,
which killed approximately 22,000 people in the eastern Caribbean, was
there a more deadly hurricane. As you have done above, apply a definition query
under Theme--> Properties 88) What countries do you think Hurricane Mitch affected most?
Read the USGS Hurricane Mitch overview on: http://mitchnts1.cr.usgs.gov/overview.html 89) How did your GIS assessment of which countries were most affected match the statements in the USGS overview that you just read?
90) Describe the hurricane track of Mitch, indicating how the hurricane moved over the course of its lifetime.
91)
Examine your table.
92) What were the dates of Hurricane Mitch?
Go to the hurricane
tracks table. Select all themes (hold down
SHIFT and single click each one) and clear any selections for all
themes.
Which World Cities are the Most Vulnerable to Hurricanes? Next, the UN Disaster Relief Organization wants you to make an assessment of how many hurricanes passed close to world cities. The distance criteria is 50 miles. Use the Add Theme Access its table. 93) How many cities are in the data set?
94) How many of these cities do you estimate are within 50 miles of a hurricane track?
Use the Theme--> Select By Theme menu to select cities that are within 50 miles of a hurricane track, as follows:
95) Examine the map when done. What is the pattern of the selected (yellow) cities?
96) Examine the
table for cities.
97) How does this compare to your earlier estimate?
Determine the population that resides in these cities. In the table, select (click on) the field population. Then access the menu Field-->Statistics and examine your new data summary. 98) How many people live in these cities?
99) Name three things you might do to make these cities safer from hurricanes.
Save your project, close your project, and exit ArcView GIS. 100) Summarize in a few sentences what you have learned about hurricanes in this lesson.
101) Summarize in a few sentences what you have learned about GIS in this lesson.
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